France, ranked 3rd, hosts 15th-ranked Italy in the UEFA Nations League. France is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (10 goals scored), while Italy has struggled with only 1 win in their last 5 (9 goals scored). Historically, their encounters have been competitive, with both teams scoring frequently. This match is expected to be open rather than low-scoring.
France or draw
Double chance · est. odds 1.30
France has a strong home form with 4 wins and only 1 loss in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5. Italy, on the other hand, has struggled away with only 1 win in their last 5 matches, indicating a likely outcome of France winning or at least drawing.
Under 3.5 goals
Goals · est. odds 1.41
Both teams have shown modest goal-scoring records, with France averaging 2 goals per game at home and Italy averaging 1.8 goals per game away. The recent head-to-head matches also suggest low-scoring outcomes, making the under 3.5 goals market a fitting choice.
Probabilities come from Spotip's AI model using form, standings, head-to-head and market data. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Formation 4-3-3 · Zinédine Zidane
Substitutes
Missing
Formation 4-3-3 · Roberto Mancini
5
France wins
1
Draws
2
Italy wins
France and Italy finished 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League at Stade de France.
France have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches. Italy have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches.
Substitutes
Missing
| 4 |
| -15 |
| 0 |
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | 10 | |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +7 | 10 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 4 | -5 | 4 | |
| 4 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 8 | |
| 2 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 4 | -5 | 3 |